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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172022
1500 UTC WED NOV 09 2022
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 8( 8) 4(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
KINGS BAY GA 34 16 15(31) 7(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
WAYCROSS GA 34 1 16(17) 9(26) 5(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 24 13(37) 7(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
JACKSONVILLE 34 20 18(38) 10(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 26 32(58) 19(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 88 8(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
THE VILLAGES 34 55 34(89) 3(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
THE VILLAGES 50 X 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ORLANDO FL 34 89 10(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 50 X 16(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
ORLANDO FL 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 76 19(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 1 20(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PATRICK AFB 34 76 19(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
PATRICK AFB 50 1 20(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
PATRICK AFB 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT PIERCE FL 34 82 15(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
FT PIERCE FL 50 4 48(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
FT PIERCE FL 64 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
W PALM BEACH 34 74 6(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
W PALM BEACH 50 6 25(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
W PALM BEACH 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 45 5(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
FT LAUDERDALE 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MIAMI FL 34 27 5(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 10 5(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
MARATHON FL 34 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
KEY WEST FL 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NAPLES FL 34 17 5(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
FT MYERS FL 34 21 12(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
FT MYERS FL 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VENICE FL 34 18 17(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
VENICE FL 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TAMPA FL 34 25 36(61) 6(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
TAMPA FL 50 X 8( 8) 8(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
TAMPA FL 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 13 32(45) 24(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 12(12) 27(39) 6(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST MARKS FL 34 X 15(15) 32(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 X 8( 8) 11(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 69 3(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 14 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 26 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
ANDROS 34 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
GREAT EXUMA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN SALVADOR 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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