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TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142022
2100 UTC THU OCT 13 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALVARADO TO CIUDAD DEL CARMEN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  93.5W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 155 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  60SE  45SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  93.5W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  93.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.1N  93.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.1N  93.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.3N  93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.5N  94.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N  93.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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