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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102022
0900 UTC SAT SEP 24 2022
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 20.8W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 20.8W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 20.8W
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 21.5N 20.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.3N 20.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.6N 20.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.4N 20.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.7N 21.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 26.2N 22.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 20.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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