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HURRICANE IAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022
1500 UTC FRI SEP 30 2022
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS
...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
RICHMOND VA 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DANVILLE VA 34 14 16(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
NORFOLK NAS 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NORFOLK VA 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
GREENSBORO NC 34 20 17(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
RALEIGH NC 34 45 16(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
ROCKY MT NC 34 37 6(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 94 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
FAYETTEVILLE 50 6 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 17 8(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
CHERRY PT NC 34 55 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
NEW RIVER NC 34 38 X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 59 X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
SURF CITY NC 34 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FLORENCE SC 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
FLORENCE SC 50 36 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
FLORENCE SC 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBIA SC 34 36 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
LITTLE RIVER 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LITTLE RIVER 50 46 X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
LITTLE RIVER 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 79 X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 85 X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 29 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLESTON SC 50 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
CHARLESTON SC 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
AUGUSTA GA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAVANNAH GA 34 16 X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
KINGS BAY GA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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