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HURRICANE IAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022
2100 UTC THU SEP 29 2022
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS
...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
DANVILLE VA 34 X 11(11) 17(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 7( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 11(11) 8(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X 16(16) 25(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 27(27) 25(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X 24(24) 18(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 27(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 4 66(70) 9(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
FAYETTEVILLE 50 X 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 1 23(24) 24(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
CHARLOTTE NC 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CHERRY PT NC 34 3 47(50) 5(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
NEW RIVER NC 34 10 46(56) X(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 13 48(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
SURF CITY NC 34 32 51(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
SURF CITY NC 50 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WILMINGTON NC 34 21 69(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 59 36(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 17(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
FLORENCE SC 34 15 75(90) 2(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
FLORENCE SC 50 X 21(21) 20(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
FLORENCE SC 64 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBIA SC 34 6 54(60) 9(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
LITTLE RIVER 34 58 38(96) 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X 36(36) 6(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 64 34(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 52(52) 5(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 76 23(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 65(65) 7(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 X 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
CHARLESTON SC 34 79 20(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLESTON SC 50 2 73(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X 21(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 2 38(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ATLANTA GA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
AUGUSTA GA 34 5 23(28) 7(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAVANNAH GA 50 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KINGS BAY GA 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WAYCROSS GA 34 23 3(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
W PALM BEACH 34 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MIAMI FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FT MYERS FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VENICE FL 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 11 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ST MARKS FL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
APALACHICOLA 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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