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Tropical Storm IAN (Text)


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092022
1500 UTC SAT SEP 24 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAYMAN ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IAN.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  75.2W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  75.2W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  74.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.5N  76.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.5N  78.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.0N  80.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.8N  82.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.7N  83.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.7N  84.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 26.0N  83.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 28.6N  82.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  75.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 24/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2022 12:09:24 UTC