ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072022
0900 UTC SAT SEP 17 2022
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 10(28)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 23(38) 7(45)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 4(19)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 34(41) 19(60) 4(64)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 13(27) 3(30)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 8(13) 4(17) 1(18)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
CAPE BEATA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 8(16) 2(18) 1(19)
CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 18(24) 28(52) 6(58) 2(60)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 3(24) X(24)
PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 26(35) 13(48) 2(50) X(50)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 10(23) 1(24) X(24)
SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PONCE PR 34 2 52(54) 19(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
PONCE PR 50 X 6( 6) 11(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
PONCE PR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
AGUADILLA PR 34 4 33(37) 31(68) 6(74) 2(76) X(76) X(76)
AGUADILLA PR 50 X 3( 3) 18(21) 5(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN JUAN PR 34 3 34(37) 10(47) 1(48) 2(50) X(50) X(50)
SAN JUAN PR 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
VIEQUES PR 34 39 27(66) 4(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
VIEQUES PR 50 1 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
VIEQUES PR 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT THOMAS 34 37 16(53) 2(55) 1(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57)
SAINT THOMAS 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT JOHN 34 38 13(51) 2(53) 1(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55)
SAINT JOHN 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT CROIX 34 70 10(80) 1(81) X(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82)
SAINT CROIX 50 9 10(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
SAINT CROIX 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 29 2(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
SABA 34 74 X(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BARBUDA 34 9 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
ANTIGUA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GUADELOUPE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
AVES 34 73 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
DOMINICA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: