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TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
0300 UTC TUE SEP 06 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  65.2W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  20SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE  60SE  30SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  65.2W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  65.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.6N  65.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.7N  65.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 25.8N  65.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.3N  65.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 29.0N  64.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 30.8N  63.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 35.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 41.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N  65.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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