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TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
0900 UTC SAT SEP 03 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  61.4W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  61.4W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  60.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N  62.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.9N  64.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.6N  65.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.2N  66.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.8N  67.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N  67.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 24.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 25.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  61.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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