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Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO


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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022022
0300 UTC WED JUN 29 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF VENEZUELA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM THE PENINSULA DE PARAGUANA
WESTWARD TO THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER INCLUDING THE GULF OF
VENEZUELA.
 
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA
BORDER WESTWARD TO SANTA MARTA.
 
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES
* ISLAS DE MARGARITA...COCHE AND CUBAGUA
* BONAIRE
* CURACAO
* ARUBA
* COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM THE PENINSULA DE PARAGUANA WESTWARD TO 
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER INCLUDING THE GULF OF VENEZUELA.
* COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER WESTWARD TO 
SANTA MARTA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM PEDERNALES TO CUMANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COAST OF
VENEZUELA...AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA AND ALONG THE CARIBBEAN COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA
SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  62.8W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  23 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  62.8W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  61.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 11.3N  65.5W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 11.8N  69.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 12.3N  72.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.3N  76.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.2N  80.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  30SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.0N  82.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 12.0N  87.9W...OVER PACIFIC OCEAN
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 13.5N  93.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N  62.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 29/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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