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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012022
0300 UTC FRI JUN 03 2022
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)
PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 17(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HAVANA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
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