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TROPICAL STORM TERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182021
0300 UTC MON NOV 08 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.0N 103.8W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.0N 103.8W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  8.8N 103.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z  9.5N 105.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 10.0N 108.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 10.4N 110.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 10.6N 113.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 10.6N 115.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 10.7N 118.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 10.5N 124.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.0N 103.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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