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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182021
0900 UTC FRI NOV 05 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.7N  91.7W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.7N  91.7W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.7N  91.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z  9.5N  92.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z  9.2N  94.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z  9.0N  96.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z  8.9N  98.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z  9.1N 100.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z  9.5N 103.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 10.6N 108.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 11.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.7N  91.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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