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Hurricane Rick Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172021
700 AM CDT Sat Oct 23 2021
 
...RICK BECOMES A HURRICANE...

 
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 101.5W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East of Tecpan de Galeana to Acapulco
* West of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
A Hurricane Warning and a Tropical Storm Warning will likely be
required for portions of the coast of Mexico later this morning.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Rick was located 
near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 101.5 West.  Rick is moving 
toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h).  A 
north-northwestward to northward motion is expected over the next 
couple of days.  On the forecast track, the center of Rick will 
approach the coast of Mexico on Sunday and Sunday night.
 
Satellite images indicate that the maximum sustained winds have 
increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts.  Rapid 
strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Rick is 
expected to become a major hurricane on Sunday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from 
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 
miles (95 km) from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.23 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch
area by late Sunday, with tropical storm conditions possible by
Sunday afternoon.  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the
Tropical Storm Watch areas by Sunday afternoon.
 
STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce significant
coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of
where the center of Rick makes landfall in southwestern Mexico.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
 
RAINFALL:  Rick is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain with
isolated storm total amounts of 15 inches across coastal sections of
the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacan from tonight through
Tuesday. This heavy rainfall will likely produce flash flooding and
mudslides.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Rick will begin to affect portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico later today. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 
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