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BULLETIN
Hurricane Rick Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172021
1000 AM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021
 
...RICK INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO...
...CAUSING VERY HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 102.2W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM N OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* East of Tecpan de Galeana to Acapulco
* West of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Rick was located
near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 102.2 West. Rick is moving
toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A north-northwestward to
northward motion is expected over the next 12 to 24 hours.  On the
forecast track, the center of Rick will move farther inland over
southern Mexico today and tonight.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Rapid weakening is expected today while Rick 
continues to move over land, and Rick is forecast to dissipate 
over the mountainous terrain of southern Mexico tonight or Tuesday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Rick can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2, WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC,
and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Hurricane and tropical storm conditions will continue over
portions of the Hurricane and Tropical Storm Warning areas for the
next few hours.
 
STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is producing significant coastal
flooding in areas of onshore winds in southern Mexico.  Near the
coast, the surge is accompanied by large and destructive waves.
 
RAINFALL:  Rick is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain with
isolated storm total amounts of 20 inches across sections of the
Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacan through Tuesday. This heavy
rainfall will likely produce flash flooding and mudslides.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Rick will affect portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico through early Tuesday.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 
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