ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Depression Seventeen-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172021 1000 AM CDT Fri Oct 22 2021 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.7N 100.5W ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Interests along the southern and southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seventeen-E was located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 100.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A slowing of forward speed followed by a turn to the northwest is expected by tonight. A turn to the north-northwest should occur late this weekend. On the forecast track, the system would be approaching the coast of southwestern Mexico early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm by tonight, and a hurricane over the weekend. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Rainfall: Tropical Depression Seventeen will produce 5 to 10 inches of rain with isolated storm total amounts of 15 inches across coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, and Colima starting Saturday night. This will likely produce flash flooding and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Latto NNNN
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