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Tropical Depression Seventeen-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172021
1000 AM CDT Fri Oct 22 2021
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...12.7N 100.5W
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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Interests along the southern and southwestern coast of Mexico
should monitor the progress of this system.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
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At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Seventeen-E was located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 100.5
West. The depression is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17
km/h). A slowing of forward speed followed by a turn to the
northwest is expected by tonight. A turn to the north-northwest
should occur late this weekend. On the forecast track, the system
would be approaching the coast of southwestern Mexico early next
week.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to become
a tropical storm by tonight, and a hurricane over the weekend.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Rainfall: Tropical Depression Seventeen will produce 5 to 10 inches
of rain with isolated storm total amounts of 15 inches across
coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, and
Colima starting Saturday night. This will likely produce flash
flooding and mudslides.
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
$$
Forecaster Latto
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