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TROPICAL STORM PAMELA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162021
2100 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO ESCUINAPA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO ALTATA
* SOUTH OF ESCUINAPA TO CABO CORRIENTES
* ISLAS MARIAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LOS BARILLES TO CABO SAN LUCAS
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS...PRODUCING CONDITIONS
THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 109.3W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 109.3W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 109.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 22.7N 107.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.4N 105.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 28.8N 101.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.0N  97.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 109.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 13/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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