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Tropical Storm OLAF (Text)


ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152021
1500 UTC FRI SEP 10 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR MEXICO FROM TODOS
SANTOS TO CABO SAN LAZARO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR MEXICO FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO SOUTHWARD
AND AROUND THE PENINSULA TO LORETO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 
AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 111.3W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE  45SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 111.3W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 110.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.5N 112.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.6N 113.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 24.3N 114.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE   0SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 23.4N 115.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 22.4N 117.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 21.6N 118.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 20.7N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 20.0N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N 111.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 10/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Friday, 31-Dec-2021 12:10:08 UTC