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Hurricane NORA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142021               
0900 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65   
KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                            
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  2   2( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  2   3( 5)   4( 9)   3(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
LA PAZ         34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
LORETO         34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   6(11)   X(11)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   9(12)   5(17)   X(17)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)  10(14)   1(15)   X(15)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  1   3( 4)   7(11)  10(21)   6(27)   1(28)   X(28)
LOS MOCHIS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CULIACAN       34 10  22(32)   6(38)   1(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)
CULIACAN       50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MAZATLAN       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MAZATLAN       50 93   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
MAZATLAN       64 12   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
SAN BLAS       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
20N 110W       34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
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