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Hurricane NORA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142021               
1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70   
KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.                                            
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  3   4( 7)  15(22)  12(34)   8(42)   2(44)   X(44)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  3   6( 9)  18(27)  14(41)   8(49)   1(50)   X(50)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   6(11)   1(12)   X(12)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   4( 8)  18(26)   3(29)   1(30)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   7( 9)   8(17)   3(20)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   9(16)
BAHIA KINO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   9(16)   7(23)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
GUAYMAS        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   9(12)   6(18)   3(21)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)  19(27)   3(30)   1(31)
LOS MOCHIS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
LOS MOCHIS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
CULIACAN       34  1   4( 5)  18(23)  15(38)   5(43)   X(43)   1(44)
CULIACAN       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34 63  35(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  3  78(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
ISLAS MARIAS   64  X  43(43)   2(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 
MAZATLAN       34  6  59(65)  21(86)   2(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
MAZATLAN       50  X  11(11)  28(39)   2(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
MAZATLAN       64  X   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
SAN BLAS       34 58  34(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
SAN BLAS       50  1  16(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
SAN BLAS       64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
P VALLARTA     34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
P VALLARTA     50 23  22(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
P VALLARTA     64  2   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
15N 105W       34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50 28   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
MANZANILLO     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MANZANILLO     50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
L CARDENAS     34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 110W       34  3   4( 7)   3(10)   2(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     
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