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TROPICAL STORM NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021
0300 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11)
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 9(20)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 22(32) 25(57) 3(60) X(60)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 3(17) X(17)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 25(35) 30(65) 2(67) 1(68)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 2(22) X(22)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 29(33) 11(44) 1(45)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10)
LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 21(29) 6(35)
LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 14(18)
HERMOSILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 17(27)
BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
BAHIA KINO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) 14(36)
GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10)
GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 13(23) 4(27)
HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
HUATABAMPO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 23(26) 11(37) 1(38)
LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9)
LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 21(34) 2(36) X(36)
CULIACAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 33(36) 54(90) 2(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 1( 1) 45(46) 5(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 16(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
MAZATLAN 34 X 6( 6) 37(43) 21(64) 5(69) X(69) X(69)
MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15)
MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAN BLAS 34 X 24(24) 36(60) 1(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62)
SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
P VALLARTA 34 3 71(74) 10(84) X(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85)
P VALLARTA 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
15N 105W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 79 17(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MANZANILLO 34 74 9(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
MANZANILLO 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
L CARDENAS 34 14 2(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
20N 110W 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 4(15) 4(19) 1(20) X(20)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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