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TROPICAL STORM NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021
1500 UTC THU AUG 26 2021
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 20(47)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 22(50)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 16(22)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 22(53) 2(55)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 12(20) 1(21)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15(23) 4(27)
MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) 1(17)
SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 5(27) X(27)
P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
15N 105W 34 X 7( 7) 22(29) 3(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34)
15N 105W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 31(36) 2(38) X(38)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) 28(51) 1(52) X(52)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) X(15)
MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
L CARDENAS 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 8(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13)
15N 100W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ACAPULCO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) 5(26)
20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12)
20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 31-Dec-2021 12:10:08 UTC