ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP142021
400 AM CDT Thu Aug 26 2021
 
...DEPRESSION CLOSE TO BEING A TROPICAL STORM...
...INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO AND BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS OVER THE COMING DAYS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 100.6W
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 540 MI...875 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of the tropical depression.  Watches will likely be
required for a portion of the coast later today.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.0 North, longitude 100.6
West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h).  A turn toward the northwest is expected later today, 
with a motion toward the northwest or north-northwest on Friday
and Saturday.  On the forecast track, the center of the system is
expected to pass near but offshore of the southwestern coast of
Mexico on Friday and Saturday and then approach the southern portion
of Baja California Sur on Sunday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is expected during the next few days, and the
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on Thursday and
then reach hurricane intensity over the weekend.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Tropical Depression Fourteen is expected to produce heavy
rains over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca,
Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco beginning Friday. Rainfall
totals of 6 to 12 inches are forecast through this weekend with
isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches possible. As a result,
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by the depression are expected to begin
affecting the southern coast of Mexico overnight and on Thursday
and will spread northward to the southwestern coast of Mexico
through the end of the week.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
NNNN