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TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142021
2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTH OF
TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO.  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF
MAZATLAN TO ESCUINAPA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO LA PAZ HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAZATLAN TO TOPOLOBAMPO MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE 
PROGRESS OF NORA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 107.5W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  75SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 107.5W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 107.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 25.1N 108.2W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.8N 108.8W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 26.5N 109.3W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 27.2N 109.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 28.2N 110.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 28.9N 111.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 107.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 30/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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