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HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142021
0300 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING
FROM
EAST OF PLAYA PERULA TO MANZANILLO AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM NORTH OF ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PLAYA PERULA TO ALTATA MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LUCAS TO LA PAZ MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COASTS OF SINALOA...SONORA...AND BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NORA.  ADDITIONAL
WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS
TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 105.5W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 300SE 180SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 105.5W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 105.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.8N 106.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.7N 107.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.4N 107.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 24.9N 108.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 25.6N 109.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.8N 110.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 28.6N 110.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 30.2N 110.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 105.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 29/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
 
 
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