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TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142021
1500 UTC FRI AUG 27 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH
OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS MEXICO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO SAN BLAS MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO
AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF NORA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 104.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 104.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.3N 105.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...180NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.9N 105.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.9N 106.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.7N 107.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.1N 108.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.2N 109.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 26.1N 110.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.4N 111.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 104.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 27/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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