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TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142021
0300 UTC FRI AUG 27 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO...AND ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS
MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO AND
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF NORA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS ON FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 102.6W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......180NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 102.6W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 102.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 14.9N 103.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.3N 104.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.0N 105.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.9N 106.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.7N 108.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 24.4N 110.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 26.0N 112.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 102.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 27/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/CANGIALOSI
 
 
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