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TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112021
2100 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 115.5W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 150SE 150SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 150SW  15NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 115.5W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 115.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.9N 116.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  90SE 150SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.2N 118.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  80SE 100SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 22.2N 120.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 23.3N 122.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 24.3N 124.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.3N 126.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 27.1N 130.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 115.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO
 
 
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