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TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112021
0300 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 112.9W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  60SE  90SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE  60SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 112.9W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 112.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.1N 114.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  70SE  90SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.0N 115.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  70SE  90SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.0N 116.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.0N 118.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.8N 120.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 22.7N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 24.6N 127.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 26.2N 132.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 112.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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