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TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112021
2100 UTC MON AUG 09 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 112.2W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  70SE 110SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 120SE  60SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 112.2W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 111.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.7N 113.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  70SE 110SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.5N 114.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  70SE  90SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.3N 116.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.4N 117.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.2N 119.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.0N 121.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 23.6N 126.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 25.5N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 112.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO
 
 
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