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TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112021
0900 UTC MON AUG 09 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 110.9W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 110.9W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 110.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.8N 111.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.6N 113.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.4N 115.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.2N 116.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.1N 118.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.0N 120.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 22.5N 124.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 24.0N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 110.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH
 
 
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