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TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072021
0900 UTC MON JUL 19 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 116.8W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 116.8W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 116.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.9N 118.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.9N 121.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.7N 124.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.3N 130.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.2N 132.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 18.2N 137.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 18.0N 144.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 116.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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