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TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072021
0300 UTC MON JUL 19 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 115.6W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 115.6W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 114.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 19.1N 117.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.2N 120.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.1N 123.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.1N 126.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.9N 128.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.6N 131.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 18.3N 136.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 18.3N 141.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 115.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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