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BULLETIN
Hurricane Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
1200 AM MDT Mon Jun 28 2021
 
...CORE OF THE HURRICANE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN 
MEXICO...
...BRINGING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE WARNING AREAS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 106.1W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Playa Perula Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula
* Cabo Corrientes to Punta Mita Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
hours.
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
 
Interests in southern portions of the Baja California peninsula
should monitor the progress of Enrique.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was
located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 106.1 West.  Enrique is
moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A turn toward the
north-northwest and then northwest is expected later today, and 
that general motion should continue thereafter for the next couple 
of days.  On the forecast track the core of the hurricane, along 
with the strongest winds, are expected to continue to pass near the 
southwestern coast of Mexico this morning.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected this morning.  Enrique 
is forecast to begin weakening later today, and continue to weaken 
through early this week.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles (165 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Hurricane Enrique can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the
Hurricane Warning area early today.  Tropical storm conditions will 
continue within portions of the tropical storm warning through 
today.  Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch 
area early today.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the 
Tropical Storm Watch area today.
 
RAINFALL:  Through Tuesday, the eastern outer bands of Enrique are
expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches over Colima and coastal
sections of Jalisco, Michoacan, and northern Guerrero in southwest
Mexico.  These amounts would likely produce life-threatening flash
flooding and mudslides over portions of southwestern Mexico.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 
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