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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Enrique Advisory Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
900 AM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021
 
...ENRIQUE CONTINUES WEAKENING AS IT APPROACHES THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 107.6W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM E OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was
located near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 107.6 West. Enrique is
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A gradual
turn toward the northwest is expected over the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, the center of Enrique is expected to move
near or over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula
tonight or Wednesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the next
couple of days, and Enrique is forecast to dissipate by Wednesday
night.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center, mainly in the eastern semicircle.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area over
southern portions of the Baja California Peninsula beginning
tonight.
 
RAINFALL: Enrique is expected to produce additional rainfall totals 
of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches across Sinola, 
western Durango and southern Chihuahua in western Mexico.  Rainfall 
totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches 
are possible across the southern portions of Baja California Sur.  
Combined with the rain that had already fallen, these additional 
amounts may trigger new flash flooding and mudslides.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern 
coast of Mexico, and portions of the Gulf of California and the 
coast of the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next 
couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening 
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your 
local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
 
NNNN