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BULLETIN
Hurricane Enrique Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
900 AM MDT Mon Jun 28 2021
 
...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE 
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA 
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 106.7W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM W OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 270 MI...430 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the 
the southern Baja California Peninsula from Cabo San Lucas 
northward to Los Barriles.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Playa Perula Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula
* Cabo Corrientes to Punta Mita Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico
* Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
hours.
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was 
located near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 106.7 West. Enrique is 
moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn to the 
northwest is expected this afternoon with that motion expected to 
continue for the next few days. On the forecast track, the core of 
the hurricane, along with the strongest winds, will begin to move 
away from the southwestern coast of Mexico this afternoon. Enrique 
is then expected to move near or over portions of the southern Baja 
California Peninsula on Wednesday. 
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Weakening is forecasted over the next several days. Enrique 
is expected to weaken below hurricane intensity by tomorrow, but is 
still expected to be a tropical storm when it moves near the 
southern Baja California Peninsula on Wednesday. 
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone 
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at 
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected within portions of the
Hurricane Warning area this morning and tropical storm conditions 
will continue within portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area 
through today.  Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane 
Watch area this morning.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in 
the Tropical Storm Watch area today along the southwestern coast of
Mexico and for the southeastern portion of the Baja California 
Peninsula by Wednesday.
 
RAINFALL: Through Tuesday, The eastern outer bands of Enrique are
expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches over Colima and coastal
sections of Jalisco and Nayarit in western Mexico. These amounts may
produce life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
 
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