ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
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Hurricane Enrique Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021
300 AM MDT Sun Jun 27 2021
...ENRIQUE A LITTLE STRONGER...
SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Punta Mita Mexico
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was
located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 106.0 West. Enrique is
moving toward the north-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h).
A north-northwest to northwest motion is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Enrique is
expected to pass near or just offshore of the southwestern coast of
Mexico late today through Monday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional slight strengthening is
possible today, but Enrique is expected to begin to gradually weaken
within the next couple of days as it moves over cooler waters.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Hurricane Enrique can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occuring in portions of the
warning area and will continue to spread northwestward within the
warning area through tonight. Hurricane conditions are possible by
tonight in the Hurricane Watch area. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area today and Monday.
RAINFALL: Through Tuesday, The eastern outer bands of Enrique are
expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches over Colima and coastal
sections of Jalisco, Michoacan, and northern Guerrero in southwest
Mexico. These amounts would likely produce life-threatening flash
flooding and mudslides over portions of southwestern Mexico.
SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.