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BULLETIN
Hurricane Enrique Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
1000 PM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021
 
...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN 
MEXICO AS THE CORE OF ENRIQUE IS FORECAST TO PASS JUST OFFSHORE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 105.9W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch for a portion
of the coast of southwestern Mexico from Manzanillo to Cabo
Corrientes.
 
The government of Mexico has extended the Tropical Storm Warning
northward to Punta Mita.
 
The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning east of Punta San Telmo.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Punta Mita Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was
located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 105.9 West. Enrique is
moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn to the 
north-northwest is expected later tonight with the storm 
maintaining a northwest to north-northwest heading during next 
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Enrique is 
expected to pass near or just offshore of the southwestern coast of 
Mexico late Sunday through Monday. 
 
Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible tonight or early 
Sunday, but Enrique is expected to begin to gradually weaken early 
next week as it moves over cooler waters. 
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Hurricane Enrique can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are occuring in portions of the
warning area and will continue to spread northwestward within the 
warning area through Sunday night.  Hurricane conditions are
possible by Sunday night in the Hurricane Watch area. Tropical storm
conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area Sunday and
Monday.
 
RAINFALL:  Through Monday, Enrique is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches over Colima and coastal sections of Michoacan and Jalisco in
southwest Mexico. These amounts would likely produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides over portions of
southwestern Mexico.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown/Berg
 
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