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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022021
2100 UTC SUN MAY 30 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 103.8W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 103.8W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 103.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 11.9N 105.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 12.8N 107.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.5N 109.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.2N 110.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.6N 111.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 15.4N 113.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 16.0N 114.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 103.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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