ZCZC MIATCDAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Storm Wanda Discussion Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL212021 900 AM GMT Sun Nov 07 2021 Wanda is barely hanging on as a sheared tropical storm due to a small burst of deep convection located in the southeastern quadrant. The initial intensity has been maintained at 35 kt based on earlier 30-kt ASCAT data being co-located with the new burst of deep convection. Little or no change in strength is expected during the next 36 hours due to southwesterly vertical wind shear increasing to more than 40 kt by 18-24 hours, and sea-surface temperatures decreasing to less than 20 deg C beneath the cyclone. In the 18-24-h period, Wanda is expected to merge with a rapidly approaching cold front currently located to its west, becoming extratropical tonight and dissipating over the far northeastern Atlantic on Monday. The initial motion estimate is now 050/15 kt. There are no significant changes to the previous forecast track and rationale. During the next 24 hours or so, Wanda is expected to continue accelerating northeastward ahead of a strong deep-layer trough and associated cold front. After merging with the front system, the extratropical low should maintain a fast northeastward motion until it dissipates by 48 hours. The new NHC forecast track is very similar to the previous advisory track, and lies close to the tightly packed consensus track models. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0900Z 38.5N 35.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 07/1800Z 41.6N 31.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 08/0600Z 46.6N 24.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 08/1800Z 51.1N 17.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 31-Dec-2021 12:09:41 UTC