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TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202021
0300 UTC SAT OCT 02 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  35.3W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  35.3W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  35.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.2N  36.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  40SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.6N  38.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.5N  40.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.5N  42.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.6N  44.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.2N  46.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N  35.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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