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HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182021
1500 UTC SUN OCT 03 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N  54.6W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 210SE 180SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 330SE 360SW 320NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N  54.6W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.3N  55.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 39.3N  51.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 42.4N  47.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 210SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 47.0N  41.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 50.9N  39.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...270NE 360SE 420SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 50.9N  38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 110SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 400SW 320NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 51.5N  33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 330SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 59.2N  27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 60.5N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.7N  54.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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