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HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182021
1500 UTC FRI OCT 01 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  61.8W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 130SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  61.8W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  61.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 30.7N  61.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 33.4N  60.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 35.6N  58.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.2N  56.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 38.7N  52.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 41.9N  48.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE  90SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 49.0N  42.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 51.0N  34.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N  61.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 01/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/NEPAUL
 
 
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