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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182021
0300 UTC THU SEP 23 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N  35.0W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N  35.0W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N  34.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 10.4N  37.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 10.9N  39.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 11.4N  42.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 12.0N  44.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 12.6N  46.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 13.2N  47.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 14.5N  50.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 16.0N  53.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.2N  35.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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