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TROPICAL STORM ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172021
2100 UTC SUN SEP 19 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  29.9W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  29.9W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  29.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.9N  31.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.9N  33.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.0N  34.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.0N  36.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.5N  37.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.7N  38.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 26.7N  40.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 28.7N  41.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  29.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/BLAKE
 
 
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