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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021
0900 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 2 X( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 2 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FORT POLK LA 34 5 7(12) 3(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
LAKE CHARLES 34 11 14(25) 4(29) X(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
LAKE CHARLES 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAMERON LA 34 15 12(27) 2(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
JASPER TX 34 18 9(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
JASPER TX 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KOUNTZE TX 34 61 7(68) 1(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
KOUNTZE TX 50 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 58 10(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GALVESTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GALVESTON TX 50 55 X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
HOUSTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HOUSTON TX 50 44 X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
FREEPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FREEPORT TX 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FREEPORT TX 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
MATAGORDA TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PORT O CONNOR 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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