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HURRICANE NICHOLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021
0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
STENNIS MS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BURAS LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
JACKSON MS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 3 X( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 3 2( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 3 2( 5) 8(13) 5(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22)
LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 3 2( 5) 7(12) 6(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23)
NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 4 3( 7) 5(12) 4(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FORT POLK LA 34 4 7(11) 7(18) 3(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23)
LAKE CHARLES 34 8 10(18) 14(32) 3(35) 3(38) X(38) X(38)
LAKE CHARLES 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAMERON LA 34 12 10(22) 12(34) 4(38) 4(42) X(42) X(42)
CAMERON LA 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12)
CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JASPER TX 34 14 13(27) 7(34) 1(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37)
JASPER TX 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KOUNTZE TX 34 45 14(59) 4(63) 1(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65)
KOUNTZE TX 50 1 6( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 42 11(53) 5(58) 2(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GALVESTON TX 34 96 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
GALVESTON TX 50 21 2(23) X(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
GALVESTON TX 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
HOUSTON TX 34 89 2(91) X(91) X(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92)
HOUSTON TX 50 27 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
HOUSTON TX 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
AUSTIN TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FREEPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FREEPORT TX 50 89 X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
FREEPORT TX 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 77 3(80) 1(81) X(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 5 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MATAGORDA TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MATAGORDA TX 50 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
PORT O CONNOR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ROCKPORT TX 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 3 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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