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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021
2100 UTC MON SEP 13 2021
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 2 3( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 5 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FORT POLK LA 34 3 7(10) 5(15) 3(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
LAKE CHARLES 34 5 10(15) 7(22) 2(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
CAMERON LA 34 8 11(19) 6(25) 2(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28)
JASPER TX 34 5 15(20) 7(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
JASPER TX 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KOUNTZE TX 34 18 25(43) 6(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
KOUNTZE TX 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 17 21(38) 6(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GALVESTON TX 34 71 12(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
GALVESTON TX 50 2 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HOUSTON TX 34 58 20(78) 2(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
HOUSTON TX 50 4 17(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
HOUSTON TX 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
AUSTIN TX 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FREEPORT TX 34 87 5(92) X(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
FREEPORT TX 50 17 9(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
FREEPORT TX 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 85 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 41 20(61) 2(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MATAGORDA TX 34 92 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
MATAGORDA TX 50 55 3(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
MATAGORDA TX 64 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PORT O CONNOR 34 72 1(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
PORT O CONNOR 50 50 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
PORT O CONNOR 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ROCKPORT TX 34 16 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
ROCKPORT TX 50 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HARLINGEN TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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