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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021
1500 UTC MON SEP 13 2021
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 4 5( 9) 1(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FORT POLK LA 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) 5(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
LAKE CHARLES 34 1 6( 7) 3(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
CAMERON LA 34 3 8(11) 4(15) 2(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
JASPER TX 34 1 7( 8) 6(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
KOUNTZE TX 34 1 12(13) 9(22) 3(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 1 12(13) 7(20) 3(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
GALVESTON TX 34 14 30(44) 4(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
GALVESTON TX 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
HOUSTON TX 34 2 42(44) 10(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
HOUSTON TX 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
AUSTIN TX 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FREEPORT TX 34 13 54(67) 2(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
FREEPORT TX 50 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FREEPORT TX 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 58 6(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
GFMX 280N 950W 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 2 20(22) 8(30) 1(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
MATAGORDA TX 34 61 26(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
MATAGORDA TX 50 2 28(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
MATAGORDA TX 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT O CONNOR 34 75 15(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
PORT O CONNOR 50 12 36(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
PORT O CONNOR 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ROCKPORT TX 34 42 12(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
ROCKPORT TX 50 6 11(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 13 10(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
GFMX 270N 960W 50 14 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
MCALLEN TX 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HARLINGEN TX 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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